Showing posts with label Calculator. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Calculator. Show all posts

Friday, 18 August 2017

Can you retire yet?

Financial independence is a wonderful dream. At the start it's overwhelmingly exciting to realise that you don't have to work until you're old and grey. You start cutting costs left right and centre and see your bank balance sky rocket. You dabble in investing and start to understand annual returns, dividend reinvestments and rental statements. You automate your finances and confirm you're on track to freedom! 

And then the waiting begins...

I discovered this concept of early retirement in 2014. In that year I opened a RateSetter account and started investing in peer-to-peer lending, as well as buying my first home. In 2015 I opened a Vanguard account. In 2016 I opened an Acorns account. In 2017 I'm trying to buy another investment property.

In the last 3 years my net worth has more than tripled. My RatesSetter account alone pays almost $100 a month. My Vanguard account is returning the expected 7% per annum. Last year I pulled in more than $10,000 in passive income (not counting the rent Mr. FIRE pays to live here). 

Despite all this, the road to financial independence feels like watching paint dry.


Thankfully, I'm not the only one on this journey. Turns out a lot of people have gotten bored on the path to financial independence, and built a variety of tools to answer the question - Are we there yet?

Networthify

Let's start with the classics. One of the most widely shared calculators is Networthify's "When can I retire?" calculator. It super simple and super friendly to use. Simply plug in how much you earn, how much you spend and how much you save. You can actually get away with only plugging in two values and it will work the other one out for you - neat.

Then add in your portfolio value. This is your net worth, but don't include the equity in your own home. You can't eat the equity in your home (which is why I recommend investing instead of paying down your mortgage) so don't include it in these calculations.

If you earn $40,000 a year and spend $20,000 your chart will look like this:

This tool focuses on the power of increasing your savings rate. If you earn $100,000 and still only save 50% of your income, your time to retirement will be exactly the same. But if you can earn $100,000 a year, while maintaining a frugal $20,000 a year lifestyle, you can retire so much sooner.

Check it out. Start by plugging in your own numbers to see how far away your retirement is. Then tweak your spending and saving to see how much a little change can have a big impact. 

Mad Fientist Laboratory

A much fancier one to play with is the MadFientist Laboratory. You can plug in you spending, saving and net worth each month and the FiLab will spit out a wonderful chart, plus some key dates.


Unfortunately the Lab doesn't play well with investment properties. For example, my property makes a bit over $15,000 a year in rent, but has almost the same amount of expenses. I have equity in the property which contributes to my networth, but that doesn't directly lead to income. 

I could update the lab with my only my stocks and peer to peer lending, but that wouldn't be the full picture either, so I take the 12 years to FI with a grain of salt.

If you didn't have investment properties, I think the FI Lab would be super accurate. Either way it's great fun to play around with - I've been keeping mine updated for almost three years! You do need to sign up, but that's just so your information can be saved so you can come back to it. I've never paid a cent, or received any dodgy marketing emails - this one is safe.




Bayalis calendar

Bayalis Is The Answer supplies us with a calendar on the countdown to financial independence. When the fireworks start exploding on new years eve you're free! You can tell your boss where to stick it, spend lazy Mondays at the beach and hang out with your pets.

The FIRE Calendar isn't complicated, but it does give you the opportunity to triumphantly shout "Winter is Coming!". Simply plug in your current portfolio value, and your target number and bask in the results.


Simple! You can also plug in some rewards for yourself. Once you pass a certain day on the FIRE calendar, pat yourself on the back.

The Earth Awaits

This isn't technically a retirement calculator, but it's great fun on a Friday when you're just praying for the weekend to start. Take your current portfolio and divide it by 25. This is how much you get per annum if you quit working right now. Imagine you had a terrible day at work, so you sell everything, take your 4% returns on your investments and vow to never work again. According to the Trinity Study that 4% withdrawal rate will last almost indefinitely in most cases (but not all!).

Head over to The Earth Awaits with your new passive income and see where you could live. Plug in your monthly budget, family size and lifestyle, and see what you can afford.

If you're willing to live a 'lean' lifestyle in a one bedroom apartment there are 93 places you could live for under $1,000AUD a month. If you're interested in living in Madurai, you could do it for only $406.09. That's only $122,000 invested.



What can you afford if you quit right now

How long could you live if you retired right now? I built a nice basic calculator to tell you just that. Assuming a consistent return, and a consistent spend with just a couple of numbers you can see how long your portfolio would last. Check it out here - LadyFIRE's Quit Tomorrow Calculator. You'll need to hit the 'File' button and save a copy before you can start playing with the numbers.

    Of course, you might not use this number to quit tomorrow and retire early. Maybe this is what you need to start that business you've always dreamed of. While I'm chasing Early Retirement, knowing that I could easily go ten years without working is overwhelmingly comforting.

    This calculator maxes out after 125 years of calculations - medical science is great but I doubt I'm going to make it past 150!

    Have a poke around at the calculators above and see how you're doing. Is Winter Coming? Will your portfolio get you through the next decade? Are you moving to Brazil? 


    Thursday, 26 January 2017

    Where's my million?

    I think we'd all be pretty thrilled to have a million dollars. The current minimum wage is $672.70p/week before tax, according to http://www.mywage.org/australia/main/salary/minimum-wage. On a minimum wage it would take you 30 years to earn that million. If you could somehow invest 100% of your income, compounded at 7% it would take 16 years to turn $672 a week into a million. So just on paper, we're all 16 years away from being millionaire. Woohoo.



    Of course, every dollar spent on food, housing, good beer and good times cuts into that future million. So I got to wondering, how much do my purchases take out of my million?

    A daily coffee is worth $4. after 10 years, that compounds out to $21,059, that's 2% of my million right there. My mortgage is $200 a week, so it's costing me $225,010 in ten years, or 22.5% of my future million. Groceries at $200 a week are month are $34,617 and 3.5%. Water bills are $800p/a, $11,539, 1.15%.

    Obviously I can't stop spending on these things. I signed a contract with the bank for my mortgage. My body needs fuel. People I work with appreciate it when I shower. And coffee is a necessity for interacting with other people. But it was really interesting to plug in my budget and realising that over 10 years it was going to cost me $576,950.

    I'm definitely not going to jump up and down and insist that I cut every expense down to the bone so that I can get closer to my future million. But I enjoy the changed perspective. I used to have a spending issue on $5 Steam games. The cheap gimmicky ones that are probably available for free on my phone. I used to justify it to myself by pointing out that it only $5. But after realising I'd spent close to $100 in a couple of months on games that I wasn't playing I got a bit frustrated with myself. An average $50 a month quickly became $600 a year that wasn't improving my life. Most of these games I would zone out because they were gimmicky casual games. Or I wouldn't finish them. I was essentially spending $600 a year for a few minutes of entertainment.

    So I started matching all my Steam spending with payments to myself. Every $10 on a game is matched with a $10 contribution to my investments. I started spending less on games, and when I did spend on them I thought my purchases through a lot more.

    I might not be putting aside a million just from stopping purchasing games, but I'm happy to have stopped mindlessly spending. If you'd like to take a crack yourself and see how much of a million your're spending, or could start saving, try out the calculator below.





    Item Description Cost Frequency Annual Spend Ten Year Percentage
    Totals


    Where's my million?

    I think we'd all be pretty thrilled to have a million dollars. The current minimum wage is $672.70p/week before tax, according to http://www.mywage.org/australia/main/salary/minimum-wage. On a minimum wage it would take you 30 years to earn that million. If you could somehow invest 100% of your income, compounded at 7% it would take 16 years to turn $672 a week into a million. So just on paper, we're all 16 years away from being millionaire. Woohoo.

    Saturday, 14 January 2017

    I made a calculator

    Inspired by Aussie Firebug's early retirement spreadsheet, and my own frustrations with excel, I made a calculator with Javascript.
    Most American FI calculators work on a single value, because their tax system includes 401ks and Roth IRAs and a bunch of other things I don't quite understand, but are quite similar to the Australian Superannuation system. The difference between Australia and America is that they have legitimate methods to withdraw from their Super, with or without penalties. In Australia we cannot touch our Super unless we're in some serious financial strife. And honestly, no one wants to plan their retirement on the basis of "If I declare myself broke I can crack open the Superannuation piggybank". The Australian government will make you burn through all your accessible assets before they let you.

    As for why you would bother investing in Superannuation if you intend to retire before preservation age, it all comes down to taxes. You can salary sacrifice into your Superannuation account before taxes - so if you make $1,000 a week (a nice round number for doing maths with) then you would be paying $162 tax. If you could salary sacrifice half of your income, then you're only paying a measly $28. By placing half your income into your Superannuation, you get to 'take home' $972 a week, as opposed to $838. (Numbers using the 2015-16 income tax rates from the ATO simple tax calculator.)

    Admittedly there are a few other complicated bits and pieces behind that (you pay 15% tax on everything in your Super account) but it's a big savings. The obvious problem is that you can't access that money until 65. Hence why Australian's need to consider both their Super account, and their accessible portfolios when doing the calculations on what they need for retirement. The total required in your portfolio doesn't change by a significant amount, but what you save on taxes is the kicker.

    I'm still not thrilled with how this calculator looks visually, but all the calculations behind it are quite nice. In a nutshell, once you've entered you current age, the age you can access your super and your annual spend you'll be able to see exactly how much money you would need if you wanted to retire tomorrow.

    The blue column is your Superannuation balance, the red is your accessible (and heavily taxable) portfolio. Hover over any column for more details.

    If the amounts you enter for Inflation and Safe Withdrawal Rate add up to less than your expected return, then your portfolio should last forever. If you want to retire earlier you can fiddle with those percentages. The calculator will tell you how much wiggle room you have in each situation.

    Edit 4th February - I came back to have a look at this calculator and find it wasn't working :( Blogger doesn't seem to be a fan of me forcibly injecting javascript into a post, so I've moved it across to a page. Hopefully it works a little better, but please leave a comment if you are having issues.

    I made a calculator

    Inspired by Aussie Firebug's early retirement spreadsheet, and my own frustrations with excel, I made a calculator with Javascript.

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